Hurricane season starts this Saturday and it could get off to a quick start. Models have been hinting at possible development in the western Caribbean or Bay of Campeche by this upcoming Wednesday.
Showers and storms have been flaring up in the western Caribbean and the Pacific hurricane Barbara made landfall in Mexico yesterday and is now falling apart over the Bay of Campeche in the southern Gulf of Mexico. This area appears to be favorable for some slow development over the next 5-7 days. The GFS model has been hinting at something developing for the past week or so. Now the European model is sensing lowering pressures in the area now.
The latest model runs bring a developing system NNE through the Gulf of Mexico making a landfall near the Florida panhandle and Alabama coast by Friday of next week. These model runs will change and all of this is dependent on something developing anyways. Bottom line, let's keep an eye on this and get prepared for the season. Saturday marks the beginning of a hurricane season that is forecast to be busy.
I'll be tweeitng and facebooking more on this over the next week.
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Meteorologist Bobby Deskins