Moisture is working it's way into the Bay area today and it will drive up our rain chances to 40% in Tampa and 50% & 60% east and south to Tampa Bay. Look for a few morning showers with a greater coverage of showers and storms each afternoon through Sunday. A upper low is spinning over the southern Gulf and this is drawing moisture into the state. Summer sun will combine with the moisture to fire off heavy downpours. This moisture will funnel over central Florida as a trough over north Florida acts as a boundary to the north. Expect slow storm movement. By Sunday the upper low fades and rain chances drop t0 30%.
Temperatures will remain in the low 90 through the weekend with winds starting from the SSE then turning the WSW each day.
Tropics: The tropics are leveling off with T.D. 7 expected to cross the windward Islands today. Once in the Caribbean sea it will likely fall apart due to shear and its rapid movement. Another wave labeled 93L has weak legs. It is over cooler Atlantic waters and is getting surrounded by dry air. It has a low potential to form into a tropical depression. Neither will have an affect on our weather and both may not make landfall as a storm.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with a few morning showers followed by scattered afternoon storms 40%. Winds will be SSE-WSW 10 mph with highs near 90.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with a few morning showers followed by scattered afternoon storms 30%. Winds will be SSE-WSW 10 mph with highs near 91.
Meteorologist Mark Collins