Weather conditions have not changed much from Monday. Showers will be more prevalent north of Tampa Bay closer to a region of higher dewpoints. The steering flow should push pop up storms south and southeast. Westerly light winds will keep the afternoon storms away from the coast and mostly east of I-75. Rain chance is 30% but increases tomorrow with a chance of morning showers early near the coast Wednesday.
Thursday and Friday a cold front stalls out just to our north and that will add to instability giving us more widespread storms both days. This will provide a better chance for even coastal counties to pick up some rainfall and see thunderstorms.
Today: Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming west between 8 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. West northwest wind between 4 and 7 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 98. West wind between 5 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. West wind between 3 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming west between 8 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Northeast wind between 3 and 7 mph.
Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. East northeast wind around 9 mph.
Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. East northeast wind around 8 mph.
Saturday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Northeast wind around 10 mph.
Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Sunday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90.
Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
Meteorologist - Mark Collins