While there is quite a lot of wind shear and on the surface a building pressure gradient, which would inhibit Tropical Storm development, the wind shear is forecasted to diminish over the next 48 hours, and so the Low is expected to strengthen. That would mean I strongly recommend it be monitored for further development.

Friday the Tropical Low driving all of this wet weather looks to slide a little westward of us (think northeast of Cancun) and try to form into a Depression if not even Tropical Storm "Debby". Your Friday forecast should look pretty similar to how the day played out Thursday. Limited sunshine early, and most of the day will be cloudy, muggy, and breezy. There could be scattered showers at any point in the day, but I would look for strong thunderstorms between 3pm - 9pm.

Then look for this Low to track right back to the northeast and cross Florida around the Coastal Bend / Nature Coast on Sunday and kick back into the Atlantic around Jacksonville late Monday. That would mean we raise the rain coverage and expected thunderstorms for both Saturday and Sunday to around 70%-80% again. It is also expected to be very windy through Monday too (SE/SW winds 10-25mph).

Now if the Low tracks more towards New Orleans, or Houston, and not the Nature Coast we would trim rain chances down for the weekend so be sure and check back to watch the development of your weekend forecast.

Chief Meteorologist - Jim Van Fleet