Afghan security forces inspect scene at a U.S. base in Kabul Nov. 21, 2012 after, officials say, two would-be suicide bombers were shot as they approached
The Associated Press
The U.S.-led military command in Afghanistan incorrectly reported a
decline last year in Taliban attacks and is preparing to publish
corrected numbers that could undercut its narrative of a Taliban in
steep decline.
After finding what they called clerical
errors, military officials in Kabul said Tuesday that a 7 percent drop
in "enemy initiated attacks" for the period from January through
December 2012 reported last month will be corrected to show no change in
the number of attacks during that span.
The 7 percent
figure had been included in a report posted on the coalition's website
until it was removed recently without explanation. After The Associated
Press inquired about the missing report, coalition officials said they
were correcting the data and would re-publish the report.
"During
a quality control check, ISAF recently became aware that some data was
incorrectly entered into the database that is used for tracking
security-related incidents across Afghanistan," said Jamie Graybeal, a
spokesman for the U.S.-led coalition known officially as the
International Security Assistance Force, or ISAF.
Graybeal
said a subsequent audit determined that portions of the data from
unilateral Afghan military operations were "not properly reflected" in
the trends ISAF had reported in its monthly updates on security and
violence.
"After including this unilateral ANSF (Afghan
National Security Force) data into our database, we have determined that
there was no change in the total number of EIAs (enemy initiated
attacks) from 2011 to 2012," Graybeal said.
"This was a record-keeping error that we recognized and have now corrected," he added.
The
coalition defines enemy initiated attacks as attacks by small arms,
mortars, rockets and improvised explosive devices, or IEDs. But it does
not include IEDs that are found and cleared before they explode.
Trends
in Taliban attacks are one yardstick used by ISAF to measure war
progress. Others include the state of security in populated areas, the
number of coalition and Afghan casualties, the degree to which civilians
can move about freely, and the performance of Afghan security forces.
Graybeal
said that even though the number of 2012 Taliban attacks was unchanged
from 2011, "our assessment of the fundamentals of campaign progress has
not changed. The enemy is increasingly separated from the population and
the ANSF are currently in the lead for the vast majority of partnered
operations."