Snow? Here in the Bay area?
It's possible, say 10Weather meteorologists Bobby Deskins and Grant Gilmore.
Deskins said on Tuesday, Jan. 2, into Wednesday, Jan. 3, the line of freezing temperatures will head south. South Carolina and Georgia could see snow.
Then on Wednesday, Jan. 3, into Thursday, Jan. 4, the line drops into central Florida. And moisture will be coming in off the Gulf north of Interstate 4.
The two big factors to determine if we even have a chance of snow will be the strength of the cold air and the moisture available to produce the precipitation.
An area of low pressure will begin to develop south of Florida on Wednesday and then strengthen as it tracks to the northeast off the Eastern Seaboard. The strength and location of that storm system will play a large part in exactly how much moisture will be available to potentially combine with the cold temperatures to produce winter weather.
Overall, temperatures for next week are borderline with only one model bringing sub-freezing temperatures, Gilmore said on Friday, Dec. 29.
It may go without saying, but snow in the Tampa Area is very rare. Since 1890 there have only been two times where it has snowed enough to actually accumulate. In fact, there have only been about 11 times where snowflakes have even been reported.
The chance for snow in Tampa next week continues to look minuscule, but the setup remains intriguing. The latest models don't show flakes, but considering we are 5-6 days out...it's worth watching. pic.twitter.com/vjulHLTc9A— Grant Gilmore (@grant_gilmore) December 29, 2017
The bottom line is that the chance for snow in Tampa Bay is very small. The details of the forecast will undoubtedly change in the coming days. The thing for sure is that it will get much cooler through next week. High temperatures will drop into the low 60s, if not even the mid-upper 50s. Low temperatures could drop into the 30s if the cold air pushes far enough south.
Our team of meteorologists will continue to monitor the development of this potential and provide updates in the coming days.
Ultimately, there would need to be enough moisture and precipitation for Tampa to see snow. It depends on the potential system.
"Could we get a snowflake out of it Thursday morning? It is possible," Deskins said.
Deskins cautions it's still a week out and conditions could change.
Gilmore said snow is unlikely next week, but it will get quite cold with high temperatures in the 50s. However, Gilmore said the possibility for snow does exist.
The last time it snowed in Tampa was Dec. 23, 1989.
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