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NHC: Disturbance off Florida's northeast coast still disorganized Sunday evening

It does not pose much, if any, threat to the Tampa Bay area, but the north Florida coast along the Atlantic could see some heavy rain.

TAMPA, Fla. — The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to watch Invest 90-L Sunday evening as it still has the potential of developing into a depression or a tropical storm just off the northeast coast of Florida.

As of Sunday evening, it has a 40-percent chance of development over the next two days as well as a 40-percent chance of developing over the next five days. 

This is down from the 50-percent forecast earlier Sunday and the 60-percent forecast early Saturday.

Most forecast models don't develop the system into a very strong storm as it faces wind shear and some dry air to the north. Models are trending toward moving the system north or northwest toward northern Florida and into Georgia.

Even if it moves west toward Tampa Bay, impacts would likely be minimal with some additional wind and rain chances possible. However, rain totals would likely stay under two inches and wind would likely stay under 25 mph.

Peak hurricane season runs from August through early October when the ocean waters are typically at their warmest.

10 Tampa Bay is your Hurricane Headquarters. From getting your hurricane kit together to finding your closest evacuation route, 10 Tampa Bay has it all. 

You can also download the free 10 Tampa Bay app to get alerts sent straight to your phone if a storm is heading this way.