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Track Nicole: See latest cone, spaghetti models and alerts

The storm hit Florida's east coast with high surf and strong winds. Across the Tampa Bay area, gusty downpours are ongoing.
Credit: 10 Tampa Bay

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — Tropical Storm Nicole is moving across Florida after making its first U.S. landfall as a hurricane along Florida's east coast just south of Vero Beach. 

Nicole, which reached hurricane strength Wednesday while making landfall on Grand Bahama Island, is bringing high surf, heavy rain and strong winds, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The storm is a gusty rainmaker for the Tampa Bay region. Higher than normal tides of 2-3 feet are possible, as well.

RELATED: Hurricane warning issued for parts of Florida's east coast ahead of Nicole

Spaghetti Models

Resembling spaghetti noodles, each line in a spaghetti model represents a computer's best guess as to where the center of the storm will go. 

These models, however, do not show expected impacts on areas.

Here's the latest spaghetti model for Nicole:

Credit: 10 Tampa Bay

Tropical Track

This "cone of uncertainty" shows an area where the center of the storm could go, when and how strong it might be at the given time. Note that impacts from a tropical system do occur away from the center and outside the cone. 

Here's the latest track for Nicole:

Credit: 10 Tampa Bay

Watches and warnings

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

A storm surge warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations.

A hurricane warning means sustained winds of 74 mph or higher associated with a hurricane are expected within 36 hours. A hurricane warning can remain in effect when dangerously high water or a combination of dangerously high water and exceptionally high waves continue, even though winds may be less than hurricane force.

Credit: 10 Tampa Bay

A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

A tropical storm watch means tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area within 48 hours.

RELATED: DeSantis: Floridians need to prepare for potential impacts of Subtropical Storm Nicole

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